Beard Betting Tactics
Share
A breakdown of how professional sports bettors operate and place bets, focusing on maintaining anonymity and managing relationships with bookmakers.
Core Betting Infrastructure
- Avoid betting directly at casinos
- Casinos are "for losers and people who can't win"
- Casinos will ban winning players
- Need to find alternative betting channels
Using "Beards" (Proxy Betters)
- Definition: People who place bets on behalf of the real bettor
- Types of beards used:
- Successful business people
- Degenerate gamblers
- Hollywood people
- Professional athletes (e.g. Floyd Mayweather)
Operating Model
- Bet through street-level bookmakers
- Use credit-based betting systems
- Maintain anonymity
- Nobody should know who's actually winning
- Create layers between bettor and bookmaker
Performance Metrics
- Return measurements:
- Bad year: 4-4.5% return per bet
- Good year: 8-9% return per bet
- Focus on return per bet rather than annual returns
- Can't measure like traditional hedge funds due to capital deployment limitations
Modern Evolution
- Now uses fully automated systems
- Runs two models simultaneously
- Zero human intervention in decisions
- Strict adherence to model outputs
- No manual overrides even when model appears wrong
Scale of Operations
- Requires large betting volume for meaningful returns
- Need approximately $100M in total bets for $10M in profit
- Multiple bets placed daily to achieve volume
- Focus on consistent execution rather than individual wins