Life Simulation Scenarios

A discussion about simulating one's life 1000 times to understand potential outcomes and life trajectories.

Ground Rules for the Simulation

• Same genetics
• Same family background
• Same starting situation
• Only changing random variables and decisions made throughout life

Sam Parr's Life Simulation Analysis

Floor Scenarios

• Potential homeless alcoholic/drug addict
• Possible jail time due to past tendency to con and steal
• Notes these scenarios were realistically possible given certain life choices

Ceiling Scenarios

• Could have kept his company instead of selling
• Potential to be worth hundreds of millions by age 50
• Currently on track to be worth significant amount in 20 years
• Almost guaranteed to be worth substantial amount by then

Shaan Puri's Life Simulation Analysis

Floor Scenarios

• More modest floor than Sam's assessment
• Realistic floor would be staying at Twitch permanently
• Doesn't see extreme negative outcomes as likely

Current Assessment

• Believes he got one of the "good rolls of the dice"
• Suggests current trajectory is closer to ceiling than floor
• Acknowledges extreme negative scenarios possible but unlikely

Key Insights

• Life outcomes heavily influenced by key decisions
• Small changes in variables can lead to drastically different results
• Current success doesn't eliminate possibility of having had much worse outcomes
• Personal choices and decisions significantly impact final trajectory