Portfolio Assessment Framework
Share
A framework for maintaining conviction and evaluating investments during market downturns, focused on long-term thinking over emotional reactions.
Core Investment Philosophy
- Don't obsess over daily price movements
- Focus on 5-10 year investment horizons
- Separate market volatility from fundamental thesis
- Avoid emotional decision making during downturns
Portfolio Assessment Process
- Ask key questions:
- "Has anything fundamentally changed about these investments?"
- "Do I still believe in these investments over 5-10 years?"
- "Am I buying the dip or chasing losses?"
- Avoid looking at portfolio daily to prevent emotional reactions
- Differentiate between buying opportunities vs. throwing good money after bad
Market Downturn Strategy
- Accept 25-30% drawdowns as normal in high-risk portfolios
- Focus on earning active income rather than relying on investments
- Maintain discipline rather than trying to time market bottoms
- Stay invested in core positions if thesis remains intact
Psychological Framework
- Treat down markets as normal rather than catastrophic
- Use poker mindset to avoid "tilting" or emotional decisions
- Focus energy on income-generating activities
- Maintain conviction by focusing on fundamentals over price action
Risk Management
- Keep some positions in stable assets (like Amazon stock)
- Balance high-risk positions with more conservative ones
- Avoid overleveraging or overconcentration
- Accept volatility as part of high-growth investing
The key is maintaining emotional discipline while systematically evaluating whether your original investment thesis remains valid, rather than reacting to short-term price movements.
02:59 - 03:36
Full video: 11:10SS
Steph Smith
Steph Smith is the host of the a16z podcast, focused on highlighting the most important trends within technology. Before joining Andreessen Horowitz, Steph led HubSpot's Creator Program, including their growing Podcast Network. She was also a writer for the Hustle.