Four Types of Luck
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A framework for understanding and systematically increasing luck in business and life, focusing on four distinct types of luck and how to leverage them.
The Four Types of Luck
- Blind Luck
- Pure chance events that you can't influence
- Like "lightning striking while standing still"
- Can't be controlled or manufactured
- Shouldn't be counted on for success
- Motion Luck
- Based on the principle of "fortune favors the bold"
- Increases luck through high activity levels
- More actions create more surface area for opportunities
- Even inefficient action better than inaction
- Generates more lucky breaks than staying still
- Spotting Luck (Pattern Recognition)
- Develops through experience and expertise
- Ability to recognize valuable opportunities others miss
- Built through exposure to many examples
- Like seeing 100 mundane opportunities helps identify the exceptional one
- Similar to dating - many experiences help recognize special opportunities
- Requires prepared mind through consistent practice
- Reputational Luck
- Luck becomes magnetic based on reputation
- Example: Being known as best deep sea diver attracts opportunities
- Benefits of content creation:
- Builds reputation as expert in specific domain
- Makes you first choice for opportunities in your field
- Other people's luck flows to you through reputation
- Others' opportunities become your opportunities
Key Implementation Strategies
- Focus on building three core skills:
- Making things
- Selling things
- Getting lucky (through above framework)
- Treat luck as a developable skill
- Take consistent action to increase luck surface area
- Build expertise to recognize opportunities
- Invest in reputation building
- Create content to establish expertise
- Position yourself where luck can find you
12:00 - 14:06
Full video: 36:44SP
Shaan Puri
Host of MFM
Shaan Puri is the Chairman and Co-Founder of The Milk Road. He previously worked at Twitch as a Senior Director of Product, Mobile Gaming, and Emerging Markets. He also attended Duke University.