E-commerce Becomes Blue-Collar

Sean Frank believes that running e-commerce brands has become increasingly difficult and less trendy, but can still be highly profitable when done correctly. As the founder of Ridge Wallet, he's built a $200M+ profitable business without raising money or taking on debt.

Key Points:

  • E-commerce has evolved through several phases:

    • E-commerce 1.0: "Selling random shit on the internet"
    • E-commerce 2.0: Marketplaces (eBay vs Amazon)
    • DTC 1.0: First brands coming online (like Allbirds)
    • DTC 2.0: The COVID boom period
    • DTC 3.0 (current): Small service providers pivoting to brands with lean teams
  • Running e-commerce has become "blue collar work":

    • "In 2021 running an e-comm brand was incredibly cool, it has gotten less cool every single year"
    • "The best marketers have more or less left the industry"
    • "Everyone wants to be shipping cool AI products" instead of physical products
  • Profitability is possible despite industry challenges:

    • Ridge has never raised money or taken on debt
    • "Every dollar on my balance sheet is profit that has been reinvested"
    • "I've been able to make millions of dollars a year for the past couple of years"
    • "I bought a house in LA directly because of selling wallets on the internet"
  • Common e-commerce mistakes to avoid:

    • "You can't outmuscle a TAM" - understand your market size realistically
    • "You're not better than the trend" - products tied to trends will crash when trends fade
    • "LTV isn't real - lifetime value only works if you're alive" - most brands die waiting for LTV
  • First-purchase profitability is critical:

    • "I have to be profitable in the first purchase"
    • Must cover all fixed costs with each wallet sale, not just contribution margin
  • Best current e-commerce model:

    • Service operators who've seen "the rise and fall of different brands"
    • Launching "targeted hyper specific brands" with small teams
    • Examples: Create Gummies ($40M/year with 8 people), Hollow Socks ($30M/year with 5 people), Brez ($5M/month with ~20 people)