Intelligence Assessment Matrix

A framework for assessing exceptional intelligence and leadership potential, based on observations of tech leaders like Sam Altman and Emmett Shear.

Core Intelligence Markers

• Raw processing power ("horsepower")

  • Ability to quickly understand complex topics
  • Process and synthesize information rapidly
  • Think clearly under pressure
  • Make connections others miss

• Knowledge Breadth

  • Deep understanding across multiple domains
  • Ability to reference historical examples and patterns
  • Connect insights across different fields
  • Casual interest in seemingly random topics (judicial systems, military history, etc.)

Technical Depth Indicators

• Strong grasp of technical fundamentals

  • Can discuss technical concepts at a deep level
  • Understands both theory and practical implementation
  • Ability to evaluate technical tradeoffs

• Engineering mindset

  • Can break down complex problems
  • Thinks systematically about solutions
  • Values data and empirical evidence

Leadership Qualities

• Strategic thinking

  • Long-term vision
  • Ability to see several moves ahead
  • Understanding of game theory and incentives

• Communication ability

  • Can explain complex topics simply
  • Adapts communication style to audience
  • Persuasive without being manipulative

Red Flags

• Single-domain expertise only

  • Deep knowledge in one area but limited breadth
  • Unable to connect insights across fields
  • Lack of curiosity about other domains

• Poor people skills despite technical brilliance

  • Unable to build consensus
  • Struggles with soft power
  • Can't translate technical knowledge to practical leadership

Assessment Framework

• Look for combination of:

  • Technical competence
  • Broad knowledge base
  • Strategic thinking ability
  • Leadership potential
  • Communication skills

• Value both depth and breadth

  • Technical expertise matters
  • But must be balanced with broader understanding
  • Look for "wide and deep" rather than just specialized knowledge