Four Luck Levels

A framework for understanding different levels of luck and how they progress from pure chance to engineered opportunity.

The Four Levels of Luck

1. Level 1: Dumb Luck

• Pure chance/random occurrence
• Happens while standing still
• No action required - luck finds you
• Example: Getting struck by lightning

2. Level 2: Motion-Based Luck

• Increased probability through activity
• Taking lots of action increases chance encounters
• "Luck favors the bold"
• Creates more opportunities through movement and engagement

3. Level 3: Pattern Recognition Luck

• "Luck favors the prepared mind"
• Ability to spot opportunities others miss
• Combines:
  • Active movement/engagement
  • Recognition of opportunities
  • Skills to capitalize on opportunities
• Example: Recognizing NFT potential by combining artistic and tech knowledge

4. Level 4: Reputational Luck

• Opportunities seek you out
• Built through established expertise/reputation
• Luck comes to you based on your known capabilities
• Examples:
  • Companies reaching out based on your content
  • Being sought out as an expert in your field
  • Getting opportunities due to established reputation

Key Success Factors

• Need for multiple skill sets
  • Technical knowledge
  • Domain expertise
  • Business acumen
• Understanding of underlying principles
• Ability to recognize patterns
• Building reputation over time
• Active engagement in your field