Technology Creates Arbitrage
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Robert Oliver believes that technology creates massive arbitrage opportunities for entrepreneurs who can recognize paradigm shifts before they become common knowledge. He sees TikTok and short-form video as the current gold rush opportunity that's transforming how products gain popularity and how new brands can emerge.
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Paradigm Shifts Create Opportunities:
- Retail stores like GNC dominated supplements before Amazon changed the game
- Amazon created opportunities for new supplement brands that couldn't get shelf space
- Now TikTok is doing the same to Amazon, creating a "short form discovery era"
- "There's so much arbitrage everywhere because humans are narrative machines"
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The TikTok Gold Rush:
- "This TikTok thing really does seem to be the best opportunity to go from like no net worth to like 1 to 5,000,000 with no skills no background no tech"
- Even experienced investors like Ben recognize it as a unique opportunity
- Robert's company grew to "$100+ million run rate" while being "super profitable" and bootstrapped
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Product Fame vs. Personal Fame:
- On Instagram, people became famous creators
- On TikTok, "your product can become famous by putting it in the hands of talented people"
- These creators take "literally like a thousand shots on goal a month"
- Traditional paths are saturated: "you weren't gonna be able to walk into walmart or target and get on the shelf"
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Narrative Control Through Views:
- Historically, controlling narratives was "pay to play" - only big companies could afford it
- TikTok creates windows where "normal people without multinational level marketing budgets" can "form a mainstream narrative"
- Example: Artists can get "billion streams on spotify" without record labels
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Going Against Common Knowledge:
- "My dad called me an idiot when I was pouring into amazon... questioned my sanity"
- "$30,000,000 later... thank god I didn't listen to my parents"
- Admires people like Elon who "look at things from a very ground up perspective and don't take the common"
- Encourages "sending it" and not being "afraid to just send it"