Strategic Mediocrity Returns
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A framework for achieving long-term investment success through consistent, moderate returns rather than chasing maximum gains.
Core Philosophy
- What matters most is not the best returns you can earn this year, but the best returns you can sustain for the longest period
- Average returns sustained for an above-average time period beats superior returns for a shorter period
- Target 6.5% real returns (after inflation) through index funds
- Focus on being "financially unbreakable" rather than maximizing returns
Strategic Mediocrity Approach
- Aim for average returns by design through index funds
- Build endurance to hold investments for extremely long periods (50+ years)
- Accept being in the middle/average range in any given year
- Goal is to be in top percentiles over decades, not years
Why This Works
- Earning average returns for 50 years puts you in the top 1% of all investors
- Requires zero effort through passive index investing
- Creates "dynastic wealth" that can impact multiple generations
- Allows you to stick around long enough for compound interest to work
Real World Example: PIMCO's Strategy
- Never in top half against peers in any given year
- Always in top decile over decades
- Competitors who beat them in individual years get washed out
- Proves consistency beats short-term outperformance
Key Mindset Shifts
- Focus on sustainability over maximization
- Embrace being average in short term for long-term success
- Remove emotion and effort from investing
- Think in terms of decades rather than years
- Prioritize "unbreakable" over "maximum" returns
03:56 - 05:53
Full video: 35:47MH
Morgan Housel
Partner at Collaborative Fund and former columnist for The Motley Fool and The Wall Street Journal. Author of bestsellers "The Psychology of Money" and "Same as Ever".
Two-time winner of the Best in Business Award and finalist for the Gerald Loeb Award for Distinguished Business and Financial Journalism.