Opposite Trend Opportunities
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When one thing becomes extremely popular, it creates a market opportunity for its opposite. This pattern repeats across different industries and time periods.
Core Theory Components
- Popular trends create a natural craving for their opposite
- The opposite product/service wouldn't succeed without the original trend first shifting culture
- This pattern creates opportunities for counter-positioning in the market
Key Examples
-
Social Media Evolution
- Facebook became dominant with permanent, public photos
- Created opportunity for Snapchat with temporary, private photos
- Snapchat wouldn't have succeeded without Facebook first changing how people shared photos
-
Cultural Movements
- As "woke culture" became prevalent (careful language, pronouns)
- Created space for "straight shooters" like Andrew Tate and Donald Trump
- These figures became popular as a counterpunch to mainstream trends
Modern Application: AI vs. Human Touch
- As AI becomes dominant for information (generic, scraped answers)
- Creates craving for "village wisdom" and human experience
- Opportunity for platforms focusing on real human answers
- Example: "Better than Google" Facebook group
- 17,000 millennial moms sharing authentic experiences
- High-trust environment
- Personal, experiential answers vs. AI-generated responses
- Valuable demographic (household budget decision makers)
- Content is genuine user experiences vs. edited/curated content
Business Implications
- Look for opportunities that are opposite to dominant trends
- Success requires the original trend to be strong enough to create the counter-desire
- Focus on authentic, human elements as technology becomes more prevalent
- Consider how to capture value from "opposite" market positions
03:50 - 04:14
Full video: 01:05:50SP
Shaan Puri
Host of MFM
Shaan Puri is the Chairman and Co-Founder of The Milk Road. He previously worked at Twitch as a Senior Director of Product, Mobile Gaming, and Emerging Markets. He also attended Duke University.